He yields passing work to J.D. As a model for other running backs, one of the greatest running backs of all time is a horrible example. He and Ameer Abdullah -- who played over Kenyan Drake in the first preseason game -- could take away tons of receiving work, while White is capable of obtaining shots around the goal line. O.J. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. Ricky Watters 20. There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB20 | Consensus Projections RB20. Then, two players were listed as being the most overrated compared to their draft projection. Brown has always been a strong contributor inside the five-yard line scoring 9 rushing touchdowns in the last two years in that hot zone. This three-headed committee with a healthy Jones is bad news for Fournette and means he is way overvalued at current ADP. Sigmund Bloom: Anthony Lynn basically told us that he will run a committee of Swift and free agent pick Jamaal Williams when he called Williams his "A" back. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. Has no highlight reel. He has had 9,088 receiving+rushing yards over his career. Fred Taylor Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. The additions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Curtis Samuel, Dyami Brown, and a healthy Antonio Gibson should blunt his numbers and make his season look more like 2020's first half when he averaged 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions per game instead of his second half when he saw 8.6 targets and 6.1 catches an outing. Photo: Isaiah J. I'm out. 9 out of the 13 years Bettis played in the NFL he averaged less than 4 yards per carry. It is also quite possible that Gordon isn't even on the team by the time Week 1 rolls around. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. . In college, he played wide receiver as much as (if not more than) running back. Gibson fumbled in the preseason opener, and ball security has been an issue as he coughed up the football four times last year. Andy Hicks: If people are using a fourth or fifth-round pick on Myles Gaskin, they will end up disappointed. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Reggie Bush, Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles, and recently, Dalvin Cook all took over a season of play to return to form if they did at all. Ben Cummins: The Raiders offense should be fun this season with the additions of Davante Adams and new head coach, Josh McDaniels. But so far, there is nothing to suggest that it is, and all three running backs are likely to play plenty. James Brimacombe: Once Kenyan Drake was out of the picture, we shot Edmonds up the draft board naturally. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB21. Anthony Amico: The new regime for the Raiders is not particularly reassuring of Jacobs' role with the team. If Johnson is the starter, he is probably a value where he is being drafted, but I'm not taking him at his current cost without some reassuring news about his role in the coming weeks. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. That, plus the uncertainty of Edmond's role, leaves me more concerned than excited. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. McKissic will get passing down work, so Gibson's floor and ceiling will be lower than last year, the only question is how much lower. Tarik Cohen, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB49 | Consensus Projections RB47. Chris "Beanie" Wells. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. However, the floor is lower than the surrounding running backs in cost. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. But he's 29, he's undersized, he had a hard time staying healthy last year, he adds little as a pass catcher, and the San Francisco backfield is awfully crowded now. On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago. J.D. Sigmund Bloom: Barkley may not be 100% to start the season, and he might not truly be 100% until next season. Mostert is now 29 years old and has the highest draft position of anyone in this stable of capable running backs. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . It's not entirely his fault. From Weeks 13 through 17, Dobbins received a measly two total targets from quarterback Lamar Jackson. "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. "Matthew Berry, ESPN. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. The only reason Johnson had fantasy value last year was a superhuman effort from Deshaun Watson to move the offense and produce points. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Most overrated players in Madden 21 J.J. Watt, defensive end, Houston Texans. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. Even if he isn't named the Saints' starting quarterback, Hill's continued presence in the red zone and at the goal-line infringes on Kamara's touchdown opportunity. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. And just how many touchdowns should we expect from an offense with glaring question marks at quarterback and the worst wide receiver depth chart this side of Detroit? Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. Barry Sanders 3. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. However, I would ask - where is the upside to tilt a league here? And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. There's zero appeal here. This was largely in line with his previous year's number of 10.7 per game, allowing him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. The Five Most Overrated Fantasy Football Running Backs in 2019. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. Williams is extremely talented, but as of now, it looks like this will be a split backfield. I am a heretic in that regard. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. Barkley is a workhorse. In addition, Antonio Gibson finished the year banged up and ceding snaps to McKissic. . Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. John Riggins 19. While 3,000 hits is nothing to scoff at, his place as an. This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. Leave him there for the next guy to take him. 1. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. Taysom Hill had nine carries from inside the opponent's five-yard line to Kamara's 15 in 2021 and won't be removed from the Saints' red-zone plans any time soon. Gordon isn't going away just because fantasy managers want him to. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. He has good hands, but his route running hurt his opportunities to make clean catches against man-to-man coverage. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. Tevin Coleman was specifically brought in because he knows the run-blocking schemes the Jets will employ this year, and Ty Johnson hasn't gone anywhere either. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. Johnson was once a big name at the running back position and is still getting drafted based on that name and past production. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. He didnt have a top 5 offensive line, so that eliminates the argument that he was made by the offensive line. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. With McKissic back taking over passing down duties and Brian Robinson Jr possibly taking over red zone opportunities, Gibson is being overvalued in fantasy drafts. Emmitt Smith 4. Sigmund Bloom: Johnson was still in line to start after he took a pay cut to stay with the Texans, but then the team added Phillip Lindsay after he and the Broncos parted ways, which embroils Johnson in a frustrating committee backfield in an offense that is likely to be among the league's worst. There have been 49 running backs taken among the first 10 picks since 1960, and Byars has the lowest rushing average of the bunch. Johnson himself has acknowledged it, and the backs' usage in the first preseason game indicates frustration for anyone wanting to farm this barren land. The more problematic issue is that the Texans are a train wreck. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league to put up those huge numbers over that finishing stretch. He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. The Top Ten 1 David Beckham David Robert Joseph Beckham is (born 2 May 1975) is an English former professional footballer, the current president & co-owner of Inter Miami CF and co-owner of Salford City.. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option.
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